2022 Final Four Betting Odds

Final Four Betting

SportsBetting3.com has the ultimate Final Four betting guide. See which sportsbooks we recommend. Next, learn the best Final Four betting opportunities. Review our historical data to identify profitable bets.

Final Four Futures

Cached 2021-11-14 13:38:44

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NG 2021-11-14-15-00-00 Cached 2021-11-14 15:01:41

Chapters

  1. Final Four Bets
  2. Last Year’s Highights Video
  3. Best All Time Final Fours
  4. Betting Tips
  5. Best Buzzer Beaters Video
  6. Tables/Reference
  7. Live Final Four Odds – Tap Here

Note: The entire 2021 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament will be contested in Indiana. The Elite 8 and Final 4 will both play in Indianapolis at Lucas Oil Stadium.

2021 Final Four Schedule
Event Site Activity
Date
Selection Sunday TBS 6:00PM ET
Live Stream
March 14, 2021
First Four Bloomington, IN March 18, 2021
First Round Begins Various Sites, IN March 19-20, 2021
Second Round Begins Various Sites, IN March 21-22, 2021
Sweet 16 Banker’s Life & Hinkle Fieldhouses March 27-28, 2021
Elite Eight Lucas Oil Stadium March 29-30, 2021
Final Four Lucas Oil Stadium April 3-5, 2021




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Final Four Betting Opportunities

The following are popular Final Four betting options. Remember, these are the last 3 college basketball games of the season. We explain props, fading the public and common straight bets below.

1. Final Four Prop Bets

Carefully handicap each Final Four team. Sift through all prop bets for the best opportunities. The following are common Final Four props. Actual odds may vary.

1. Team to score the first 10 points in the Championship game

  • Team One +160
  • Team Two -210

Which team will score the first 10 points?

Note each team’s juice. Minus numbers indicate the most likely result. Bettors must risk the amount listed to make $100. Plus numbers indicate the least likely. Bettors must risk $100 to win the amount listed.

Tip
Taking the most likely team isn’t necessarily an obvious winner. The least likely team could be a better value. Always research scoring trends of each team.

2. Total Points Each Team

Don’t confuse this prop with an over under total bet. A straight total bet estimates a combined total. These prop bets estimate each team’s total points separately.

Total Team Points – Team One

Total Team Points – Team Two

Look at Team Two’s number. A ½ point total means no tie bets are possible. There are only two possibilities: over or under.

Compare this to Team One’s number. If the result is exactly 68 all bets tie. That means there are 3 possibilities: over, under or tie.

Similar first half props might be offered.

Tip
Add both team’s predicted points together. Compare this number to the game’s total line. Are they consistent? Differences may indicate line moves ripe for sharp betting opportunities.

3. Individual Player Props

Top players will have prop bets for:

  1. Points Scored
  2. Total Rebounds
  3. Total Assists
  4. Total 3 Pt Shots Made
  5. Total Blocks
  6. Total Free Throws Made

If you’ve studied the players on likely Final Four teams all season, here’s your chance to cash in. These props reward smart college basketball handicappers.

Carefully match each player against the team’s opposition. For example, is it likely a player can score 15 pts against a strong man-to-man defense? Take the under. But against a zone? Take the over if they can penetrate to the paint.

Likewise, can a good defensive player tally blocks against a team with more than one good shooter? If so, take the over. If not, take the under.

Tip
Foul shots might be one of the easiest prop bets to take. Just research each player’s season shooting percentage, including recent tournament numbers. Read more about props here.

2. Fade the Public

Suppose North Carolina vs. Kentucky opens Kentucky -6. Kentucky must win by 7 or more points.

First research North Carolina’s record against the spread. Check how often they’ve covered as underdogs.

Second check the line. Suppose it’s moved to Kentucky -8. Remember the sportsbook wants to balance its action. Increasing the line – giving more points to North Carolina – makes taking the underdog Tar Heels more attractive. Don’t continue following the public!

Take North Carolina if they’ve consistently won against the spread. Bet against the public when line moves present an opportunity!

Tip
Wait until 30 minutes before tipoff to see which underdogs get money. This is sharp action coming in. Bet with the sharps.

3. Spread and Total Straight Bets

Finding good spread bets isn’t hard if you can handicap college basketball. Look for matchups where the sportsbook’s spread overestimates a favorite’s ability to cover. Here you’ll take the underdog.

Also look for matchups where the sportsbook’s spread underestimates a favorite’s ability to cover. Here you’ll take the favorite. It’s OK to be a chalk eater. A small win is better than a big loss.

You can identify good total betting opportunities from a sportsbook’s spread and total numbers. See our calculation here. You have an edge if the total isn’t consistent with the calculation.

If the projected total is under the sportsbook’s total, bet the under. If the projected total is over the sportsbook’s total, bet the over.

Tip
Review SB3’s live college basketball odds here. Also review our spread betting and total betting video tutorials.

Last Year’s Final Four Highlights

(2020 Tournament cancelled due to global pandemic)

Best Final Fours All Time

1. 2012 Champion: Kentucky Wildcats

A near-perfect 32-2 season produced another win for John Calipari’s Wildcats. Coming off a SEC championship loss to Vanderbilt, Kentucky steamrolled its way to the Final Four.

A 69-61 close call with Louisville, reminiscent of an epic December battle just months earlier, sent the Wildcats to the Championship against Kansas. There they finished the first half 14 points ahead, later winning 67-59.

2. 1982 Champion: North Carolina Tar Heels

A stacked Tar Heels team featuring James Worthy, Sam Perkins and a young Michael Jordan barely made the Final Four, squeaking by a determined James Madison team in the first round.

Coach Dean Smith steered them past Houston the first Final Four game, notching a five point win. Then the Tar Heels faced Georgetown in the National Championship. Foreshadowing future greatness, Michael Jordan sank a jump shot with 15 seconds to go, giving North Carolina a 63-62 lead.

Georgetown turned the ball over to James Worthy on the next possession, ending their attempt to win at the buzzer. The 1982 Tar Heels are considered North Carolina’s greatest team of all time.

3. 1992 Champion: Duke Blue Devils

Respect to Mike Krzyzewski’s 1992 Blue Devils, the forefathers of today’s Duke Dynasty.

After a dominant 28-2 regular season, Duke was behind in its Elite 8 matchup versus Kentucky. But Christian Laettner’s legendary buzzer beater sent the Blue Devils to the Final Four. Many still hate Laettner! His last name is a four-letter word, still sour in mouths of Duke’s competitors.

Duke edged by Indiana 42-37 in the semifinal game, later crushing Michigan’s Fab Five 71-51 in the National Final. Grant Hill and Laettner led Duke in final, while Bobby Hurley was named the tournament’s most outstanding player.

4. 1979 Champion: Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State, Indiana State, DePaul and Penn made the Final Four.

In the end, Earvin Magic Johnson led the Spartans 75-64 over Larry Bird and the Indiana State Sycamores.

5. 1976 Champion: Indiana Hoosiers

Indiana, Michigan, UCLA and Rutgers

Topping a perfect 32-0 season wasn’t a challenge for Quinn Buckner and Kent Benson of Indiana, defeating Michigan 86-68 in an uneventful Final Four. It was Coach Bobby Knight’s first National Championship.

6. 1988 Champion: Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas, Oklahoma, Arizona, Duke

Incredibly, #6 seed Kansas pulled the ultimate upset against #1 Oklahoma, winning the game 83-79. Danny Manning led the Jayhawks. It was Kansas’ first national title in nearly 50 years.

Final Four Betting Tips

  1. Refresh your bankroll before Final Four Betting begins. Deposit early to avoid last minute credit card processing glitches.
  2. Monitor Final Four prop bets closely. Visit your sportsbook’s prop page regularly.
  3. Shop college basketball lines at multiple sportsbooks. SB3 has live odds here.
  4. Consider a 2 team parlay on the first two Final Four games if the numbers are favorable. Otherwise stick to straight bets only: spread, total or money line.

Best March Madness Buzzer Beaters

It takes less than 1 second! Watch on our March Madness Betting page.

March Madness Betting Tables and Reference

NCAA Div I Men’s Basketball Tournament Final Four Teams


NCAA Div I Men’s Basketball Tournament Final Four Teams
+ Taps out more teams
Year Winning Team Runner Up Final Four Final Four
2021 Baylor #1 Gonzaga #1 Houston #2 UCLA #11
2020 Canceled
2019 Virginia #1 Texas Tech #3 Michigan State #2 Auburn #5
2018 Villanova #1 Michigan #3 Kansas #1 Loyola-Chicago #11
2017 North Carolina #1 Gonzaga #1 Oregon #3 South Carolina #7
2016 Villanova #2 North Carolina #1 Oklahoma #2 Syracuse #10
2015 Duke #1 Wisconsin #1 Kentucky #1 Michigan State #7
2014 Connecticut #7 Kentucky #8 Florida #1 Wisconsin #2
2013 Louisville #1 Michigan #4 Wichita State #9 Syracuse #4
2012 Kentucky #1 Kansas #2 Louisville #4 Ohio State #2
2011 Connecticut #3 Butler #8 Kentucky #4 VCU #11
2010 Duke #1 Butler #5 West Virginia #2 Michigan State #5
2009 North Carolina #1 Michigan State #2 Villanova #3 Connecticut #1
2008 Kansas #1 Memphis #1 North Carolina #1 UCLA #1
2007 Florida #1 Ohio State #1 UCLA #2 Georgetown #2
2006 Florida #3 UCLA #2 George Mason #11 LSU #4
2005 North Carolina #1 Illinois #1 Michigan State #5 Louisville #4
2004 Connecticut #2 Georgia Tech #3 Duke #1 Oklahoma State #2
2003 Syracuse #3 Kansas #2 Texas #1 Marquette #3
2002 Maryland #1 Indiana #5 Kansas #1 Oklahoma #2
2001 Duke #1 Arizona #2 Maryland #3 Michigan State #1
2000 Michigan State #1 Florida #5 Wisconsin #8 North Carolina #8
1999 Connecticut #1 Duke #1 Ohio State #4 Michigan State #1
1998 Kentucky #2 Utah #3 Stanford #3 North Carolina #1
1997 Arizona #4 Kentucky #1 North Carolina #1 Minnesota #1
1996 Kentucky #1 Syracuse #4 Massachusetts #1 Mississippi State #5
1995 UCLA #1 Arkansas #2 Oklahoma State #4 North Carolina #2
1994 Arkansas #1 Duke #2 Arizona #2 Florida #3
1993 North Carolina #1 Michigan #1 Kansas #2 Kentucky #1
1992 Duke #1 Michigan #6 Indiana #2 Cincinnati #4
1991 Duke #1 Kansas #3 UNLV #1 North Carolina #2
1990 UNLV #1 Duke #3 Georgia Tech #4 Arkansas #4
1989 Michigan #3 Seton Hall #3 Illinois #1 Duke #2
1988 Kansas #6 Oklahoma #1 Duke #2 Arizona #1
1987 Indiana #1 Syracuse #2 UNLV #1 Providence #6
1986 Louisville #2 Duke #1 LSU #11 Kansas #1
1985 Villanova #8 Georgetown #1 Memphis #2 St. John’s #1
1984 Georgetown #1 Houston #2 Kentucky #1 Virginia #7
1983 NC State #6 Houston #1 Louisville #1 Georgia #4
1982 North Carolina #1 Georgetown #1 Houston #6 Louisville #3
1981 Indiana #3 North Carolina #2 Virginia #1 LSU #1
1980 Louisville #2 UCLA #8 Purdue #6 Iowa #5
1979 Michigan State #2 Indiana State #1 DePaul #2 Pennsylvania #9
1978 Kentucky Duke Arkansas Notre Dame
1977 Marquette North Carolina UNLV Charlotte
1976 Indiana Michigan UCLA Rutgers
1975 UCLA Kentucky Louisville Syracuse
1974 NC State Marquette UCLA Kansas
1973 UCLA Memphis Indiana Providence
1972 UCLA Florida State North Carolina Louisville
1971 UCLA Villanova Western Kentucky Kansas
1970 UCLA Jacksonville New Mexico State St. Bonaventure
1969 UCLA Purdue Drake North Carolina
1968 UCLA North Carolina Ohio State Houston
1967 UCLA Dayton Houston North Carolina
1966 UTEP Kentucky Duke Utah
1965 UCLA Michigan Princeton Wichita State
1964 UCLA Duke Michigan Kansas State
1963 Loyola-Chicago Cincinnati Duke Oregon State
1962 Cincinnati Ohio State Wake Forest UCLA
1961 Cincinnati Ohio State Saint Joseph’s Utah
1960 Ohio State California Cincinnati NYU
1959 California West Virginia Cincinnati Louisville
1958 Kentucky Seattle Temple Kansas State
1957 North Carolina Kansas San Francisco Michigan State
1956 San Francisco Iowa Temple SMU
1955 San Francisco LaSalle Colorado Iowa
1954 LaSalle Bradley Penn State USC
1953 Indiana Kansas Washington LSU
1952 Kansas St. John’s Illinois Santa Clara
1951 Kentucky Kansas State Illinois Oklahoma State
1950 CCNY Bradley NC State Baylor
1949 Kentucky Oklahoma State Illinois Oregon State
1948 Kentucky Baylor Holy Cross Kansas State
1947 Holy Cross Oklahoma Texas CCNY
1946 Oklahoma State North Carolina Ohio State California
1945 Oklahoma State NYU Arkansas Ohio State
1944 Utah Dartmouth Iowa State Ohio State
1943 Wyoming Georgetown DePaul Texas
1942 Stanford Dartmouth Colorado Kentucky
1941 Wisconsin Washington State Arkansas Pittsburgh
1940 Indiana Kansas Duquesne USC
1939 Oregon Ohio State Oklahoma Villanova

NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament Seed Performance


Seed Performance Through All Tournament Rounds 1985-2018

(% of all seeds advancing to subsequent rounds)

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# R2 S16 E8 F4 F2 Win Odds
1 99.3% 85.3% 69.1% 41.2% 24.3% 15.4% 61.8%
2 94.1% 62.5% 45.6% 20.6% 9.6% 3.7% 14.7%
3 84.6% 51.5% 25.0% 11.8% 7.4% 2.9% 11.8%
4 79.4% 47.1% 15.4% 9.6% 2.2% 0.7% 2.9%
5 65.4% 33.8% 5.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
6 63.2% 30.9% 10.3% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 2.9%
7 61.8% 19.9% 7.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.7% 2.9%
8 50.0% 9.6% 5.9% 3.7% 2.2% 0.7% 2.9%
9 50.0% 5.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 38.2% 16.9% 5.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 36.8% 16.2% 5.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 34.6% 14.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 20.6% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 15.4% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 5.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

NCAA D1 Basketball Final Fours by Team


NCAA D1 Basketball Final Fours by Team
Team Final Fours
North Carolina 20
UCLA 19
Kentucky 17
Duke 16
Kansas 15
Ohio State 11
Louisville 10
Michigan State 10
Indiana 8
Michigan 8
Arkansas 6
Cincinnati 6
Houston 6
Oklahoma State 6
Syracuse 6
Villanova 6
Connecticut 5
Florida 5
Georgetown 5
Illinois 5
Oklahoma 5
Arizona 4
Kansas State 4
LSU 4
UNLV 4
Utah 4
Wisconsin 4
Baylor 3
California 3
Iowa 3
Marquette 3
Memphis 3
NC State 3
San Francisco 3
Texas 3
Virginia 3
Bradley 2
Butler 2
CCNY 2
Colorado 2
Dartmouth 2
DePaul 2
Georgia Tech 2
Gonzaga 2
Holy Cross 2
LaSalle 2
Loyola-Chicago 2
Maryland 2
NYU 2
Oregon 2
Oregon State 2
Providence 2
Purdue 2
St. John’s 2
Stanford 2
Temple 2
USC 2
West Virginia 2
Wichita State 2
Auburn 1
Charlotte 1
Dayton 1
Drake 1
Duquesne 1
Florida State 1
George Mason 1
Georgia 1
Indiana State 1
Iowa State 1
Jacksonville 1
Massachusetts 1
Minnesota 1
Mississippi State 1
New Mexico State 1
Notre Dame 1
Penn State 1
Pennsylvania 1
Pittsburgh 1
Princeton 1
Rutgers 1
Saint Joseph’s 1
Santa Clara 1
Seattle 1
Seton Hall 1
SMU 1
South Carolina 1
St. Bonaventure 1
Texas Tech 1
UTEP 1
VCU 1
Wake Forest 1
Washington 1
Washington State 1
Western Kentucky 1
Wyoming 1

NCAA D1 Basketball Final Twos by Team


NCAA D1 Basketball Final Twos by Team
Team Final Twos
UCLA 13
Kentucky 12
Duke 11
North Carolina 11
Kansas 9
Michigan 7
Indiana 6
Ohio State 5
Connecticut 4
Georgetown 4
Villanova 4
Cincinnati 3
Florida 3
Louisville 3
Michigan State 3
Oklahoma State 3
Syracuse 3
Arizona 2
Arkansas 2
Baylor 2
Bradley 2
Butler 2
California 2
Dartmouth 2
Gonzaga 2
Houston 2
LaSalle 2
Marquette 2
Memphis 2
NC State 2
Oklahoma 2
San Francisco 2
Utah 2
Wisconsin 2
CCNY 1
Dayton 1
Florida State 1
Georgia Tech 1
Holy Cross 1
Illinois 1
Indiana State 1
Iowa 1
Jacksonville 1
Kansas State 1
Loyola-Chicago 1
Maryland 1
NYU 1
Oregon 1
Purdue 1
Seattle 1
Seton Hall 1
St. John’s 1
Stanford 1
Texas Tech 1
UNLV 1
UTEP 1
Virginia 1
Washington State 1
West Virginia 1
Wyoming 1

NCAA D1 Basketball Championships by Team


NCAA D1 Basketball Championships by Team
Team Championships
UCLA 11
Kentucky 8
North Carolina 6
Duke 5
Indiana 5
Connecticut 4
Kansas 3
Louisville 3
Villanova 3
Cincinnati 2
Florida 2
Michigan State 2
NC State 2
Oklahoma State 2
San Francisco 2
Arizona 1
Arkansas 1
Baylor 1
California 1
CCNY 1
Georgetown 1
Holy Cross 1
LaSalle 1
Loyola-Chicago 1
Marquette 1
Maryland 1
Michigan 1
Ohio State 1
Oregon 1
Stanford 1
Syracuse 1
UNLV 1
Utah 1
UTEP 1
Virginia 1
Wisconsin 1
Wyoming 1

Final Four Appearances and Percentage by Seed


Final Four Appearances and Percentage by Seed
Seed Final Four
Appearances
Percentage
1 68 40.48%
2 35 20.83%
3 19 11.31%
4 14 8.33%
5 8 4.76%
6 6 3.57%
7 4 2.38%
8 6 3.57%
9 2 1.19%
10 1 0.60%
11 5 2.98%
12 0 0.00%
13 0 0.00%
14 0 0.00%
15 0 0.00%
16 0 0.00%

College Basketball Reading

References


cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/final-four-betting-lines-odds-prop-bets/
thoughtco.com/march-madness-statistics-3126162
betfirm.com/seeds-national-championship-odds/
printyourbrackets.com/final-four-appearances-by-seed.html
usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaab/2013/04/02/final-four-rank-experts-best-1-to-15/2044593/
fansided.com/2017/03/31/best-final-four-teams-all-time-ncaa-tournament-history/
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_NCAA_Division_I_Men%27s_Basketball_Tournament_Final_Four_participants

Author: Richard Lucas